Does the amount of Twitter buzz around a party/candidate have any correlation with whether they’ll get elected? It’s a question that’s being hotly debated and you can follow one experiment in this kind of “predictive modelling” at Tweetminster.
Right now the site is predicting an outcome of 36% for the Tories, 33% for Labour and 22% for the Lib Dems. That’s pretty close to the latest YouGov poll which puts Conservatives on 37% and Labour on 32% — doesn’t do quite so well with Lib Dems on 19%.
Clearly there are lots of questions you could ask about how valid it all is, but, given Twitter is one of the many digital tools that simply haven’t been available to voters before, this will certainly be an interesting one to follow.
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